From 1 January 2015, all vessels sailing in the designated ECA zones in the Baltic Sea, the North Sea, the waters off the US and Canadian coastline and the US Caribbean Sea will be required to use fuel with a maximum sulphur content of just 0.1%, a significant reduction from the current ECA limit of 1%. This has prompted real concerns among owners and operators about the availability of sufficient fuel stocks and, in particular, the financial impact resulting from the requirement to buy more costly distillate products and how this will affect the profitability of operations, even calling into question the viability of certain routes.
Lars Moller, CEO of Dynamic Oil Trading, commented
"Whilst there are a number of compliance options available for vessels, neither scrubbers, nor alternative fuels such as LNG, will be deployed in large numbers in the short term. This leaves most owners and operators looking at distillates as the most viable solution. Not only do these carry a significant price premium, but the implications of the new low sulphur rules on fuel availability are also unclear, given the uncertain impact on both fuel supply and demand.
"It is therefore vital that every operator with vessels travelling through ECAs prepares now in order to find the optimal fuel procurement strategy that ensures access to high-quality, on-spec fuel products and that also keeps their fuel bill down. Waiting until the last minute risks compromising on availability, quality and price."
In order to ensure continuity in fuel supply, greater certainty over operating costs and to keep fuel bills to a minimum, Dynamic Oil Trading has set out a series of recommended steps for fuel purchasers.
Continues Moller:
"We are encouraging our customers to be proactive in mapping out the precise fuel requirements of their ECA operations, in order to secure the fuel they need on the best possible terms and in a way that meets their specific operational needs.
"Secondly, owners and operators must speak to their preferred fuel supplier now and get their advice on securing access to high quality, ECA-compliant products from trusted physical suppliers. A knowledgeable supplier will be able to advise on how best to secure the fuel that is required. There is no guarantee that all physical suppliers will be able to supply the compliant products that are needed, in the right place, and at the right time, as availability in some ports could be patchy. The only way to avoid the risk of an impact on operations or the risk of non-compliance with the 2015 ECA standards is to prepare now.
"Finally, we encourage all owners and operators to look at the price hedging tools that are at their disposal. There is an array of risk management strategies that operators can use to limit their exposure to fuel price fluctuations and to lock-in costs now, which not only helps to keep fuel bills as low as possible, but also provides greater certainty over costs. We can advise our customers on the most appropriate hedging instruments to employ, based on their commercial strategy, their appetite for risk and the anticipated price trends in the marine fuel market.
"There is uncertainty across the entire industry over the impact of the new sulphur regulations, but this can be managed and the costs can be mitigated through a proactive approach to planning ahead and by working with fuel supplies in order to adapt fuel procurement strategies for ECA voyages."